Monday, October 29, 2007

Odds And Wins

The Painted Area recently made some over/under picks based on Sportsbook. Considering they went 6-1 in their picks last year, it’s probably worth taking a look.

Here’s a sample:

"San Antonio: Over 54.5 (58 wins last year)
Just look here. Since Tim Duncan entered the NBA in 1997, the Spurs have won at least 56 every year (if you pro-rate the lockout season) except 1999-00, when they won 53. Further, they have won at least 58 for seven straight seasons. I'm gonna keep riding this horse until I get thrown off."

The author doesn’t make a pick for the Bucks, who are listed as 36.5 in the article but are now at 35.5.

Here are a few other Bucks' mentions:

  • Michael Redd is 15-1 to win the scoring title and 75-1 to win the MVP.
  • Andrew Bogut is 35-1 to lead the league in rebounding.
  • The Bucks are 35-1 to win the Eastern Conference and 100-1 to win the NBA Championship.

My picks on the over/under:

  • Los Angeles Lakers Under 44.5
  • Is this assuming they are going to land Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, and Tyrus Thomas?

  • Milwaukee Bucks Over 35.5
  • A Bucks blog taking the over on the Bucks? (elaboration on predictions coming soon)
  • Orlando Magic Under 47.5
  • Who inspires confidence other than Dwight Howard and Rashard Lewis here?
  • Seattle Supersonics Under 27.5
  • In the last five years, an average of four teams per year have finished with 27 wins or fewer. How do they not fit in that equation?
  • Toronto Raptors Over 41.5
  • Chris Bosh, T.J. Ford, Jose Calderon, and Andrea Bargnani are on the way up, not down, right?

No comments: